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The Unprepared Defense: NATO's Struggle to Counter the Threat of Cheap Swarms of Drones


NATO is struggling to keep pace with the evolving threat landscape posed by cheap swarms of drones. The organization needs layered defenses, integrated air and missile defenses, and field attritable and autonomous systems en masse to manage this threat.

  • NATO needs layered defenses to deal with the threat posed by cheap swarms of drones.
  • The organization needs to develop low-cost defensive weapons produced at scale to complement interceptor missiles.
  • Gordon "Skip" Davis emphasizes the importance of training and rehearsal for operators to respond to contingencies.
  • NATO countries are interested in integrating Ukrainian technologies, but more interested in benefiting from their experience.
  • The organization needs to overhaul its doctrine to address autonomous systems used by Russia and China.
  • Software and interoperability are vital pieces of the puzzle for effective drone defense.
  • Operators need proper training to respond to contingencies, with humans remaining a key part of the command chain.



  • NATO, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, has been facing a significant challenge in recent years. The organization, which was established in 1949 to provide collective defense for its member states, has been struggling to keep pace with the evolving threat landscape posed by cheap swarms of drones.

    According to experts at the Center for European Policy Analysis (CEPA), NATO needs layered defenses to deal with the threat posed by these swarms of drones. The CEPA describes itself as a nonpartisan, public policy institution headquartered in Washington, DC, and has been holding debates on various defense-related topics, including the lessons that armed forces should take from the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.

    The debate highlights that low-cost drones are reshaping how wars are fought, and that adversaries are likely to combine precision weapons with cheap, mass-produced drones to overwhelm air defense systems. Managing this threat means developing low-cost defensive weapons, produced and used at scale, to complement the interceptor missiles costing millions that are built to target aircraft and ballistic missiles.

    Gordon "Skip" Davis, former deputy assistant secretary general for NATO and previously director of operations for US European Command, noted a decisive shift in the character of war. He stated, "The operator is an important task, but needs to be very prepared for any kind of contingency. And so training and rehearsal of realistic situations is increasingly important, and I think this aspect is often overlooked."

    Davis also emphasized that NATO countries are "very interested" in integrating Ukrainian technologies, but even more interested in benefiting from Ukrainian experience. He highlighted that Ukraine has developed extremely sophisticated and effective tactics, techniques, and procedures, and also concepts of operations that are really the treasure trove at this point for NATO countries.

    However, Davis warned that there does not seem to be any great sense of urgency for all this at the political level in many Western nations. He noted that doctrine is also an area where NATO needs to think about where the big adversaries, Russia and China, are going with respect to autonomous systems.

    "We've got to think about, how do we enable a force that can employ systems that are integrated, that have the right kinds of algorithms, the right kind of computing support, to be able to do the right kinds of targeting with minimal human intervention, and have the capability for rapid in-the-field software changes like we see going on in Ukraine right now," Davis said.

    The conclusion is that NATO countries need to radically overhaul and scale up their drone defenses, taking lessons from Ukraine. This doesn't just apply to frontline forces, as the Ukraine and Iran conflicts demonstrated that some nations have no qualms about targeting civilian infrastructure.

    The UK and a handful of European allies recently launched a program to develop low-cost air defense systems, known as Low-Cost Effectors & Autonomous Platforms (LEAP). The program will initially focus on an affordable surface-to-air weapon to counter the threat of drones and missiles, and is aiming to produce something by 2027.

    The UK last year beefed up its meager air defenses with the purchase of six new Land Ceptor anti-aircraft missile systems, capable of intercepting cruise missiles, aircraft, and drones. The development of these systems highlights the growing concern about the threat posed by cheap swarms of drones.

    Jason Israel, senior fellow for Defense Technology Initiative at CEPA, emphasized that software and interoperability were another vital piece of the puzzle. He asked, "What software is behind it? Does the software allow it to be interoperable with headquarters?"

    Israel also noted that the scale of the hardware has not quite gotten there yet, and that software, as we know, is relatively easy to scale, but we're not seeing interoperability between the systems to the point that we would need in order to fight as an alliance in the future.

    The CEPA Fellow for Transatlantic Defense and Security, Federico Borsari, highlighted that operators need the right training to respond appropriately. He made the point that humans remain a key part of the command chain, and that they need to be prepared for any kind of contingency.

    Cybercrime has skyrocketed 245% since the start of the Iran war, with Royal Navy racing to arm ships against drone threat. "Hundreds" of Iranian hacking attempts have hit surveillance cameras since the missile strikes. Euro allies are aiming to rapidly build low-cost air defense weapons.

    In conclusion, NATO's struggle to counter the threat posed by cheap swarms of drones is a pressing issue that requires immediate attention. The organization needs to develop layered defenses, integrate air and missile defenses, field attritable and autonomous systems en masse, and have the industrial capacity to produce them and "magazine depth."

    The development of low-cost defensive weapons, produced and used at scale, is crucial in managing this threat. NATO must move from a model built around technological superiority to one built around integrated systems, scalable production, and rapid adaptation.



    Related Information:
  • https://www.ethicalhackingnews.com/articles/The-Unprepared-Defense-NATOs-Struggle-to-Counter-the-Threat-of-Cheap-Swarms-of-Drones-ehn.shtml

  • https://go.theregister.com/feed/www.theregister.com/2026/03/23/nato_air_defenses/

  • https://www.theregister.com/2026/03/23/nato_air_defenses/

  • https://modernengineeringmarvels.com/2026/03/02/why-cheap-drone-swarms-are-forcing-nato-to-rethink-air-defense/


  • Published: Mon Mar 23 07:36:32 2026 by llama3.2 3B Q4_K_M













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